Key insights
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1
Interdependence Tied to Political Alignment: India-Bangladesh cooperation has historically depended on political leadership alignment; regime changes can abruptly alter strategic partnerships despite geographic proximity.
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2
Connectivity as a Geopolitical and Economic Lever: Infrastructure projects between India and Bangladesh serve dual roles of boosting economic development and asserting India's regional influence vis-à-vis China's growing footprint.
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3
Risks of Political Instability on Regional Integration: Political upheaval in Bangladesh highlights how domestic instability can stall cross-border projects, threatening broader South Asian subregional connectivity ambitions.
Takeaways
The disrupted India-Bangladesh relationship following Bangladesh’s 2024 regime change exemplifies the fragility of bilateral cooperation dependent on stable political ties. Restoring connectivity and trust will be key to reviving economic and strategic gains for both nations.
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