MARKET STRUCTURE · REGULATORY · MIDDLE EAST

Iran buys Russian Verba MANPADS in €500m contract

Yahoo 23 Feb · 11:53 PM
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Iran signed a €500 million contract in Moscow in December for Russia to supply Verba MANPADS launchers and 9M336 missiles.
Iran buys Russian Verba MANPADS in €500m contract
Why it matters
The contract reportedly covers 500 Verba launch units and 2,500 9M336 infrared-guided missiles, establishing a quantified replenishment path for Iran’s point air defenses. Deliveries are scheduled in three phases from 2027 through 2029, introducing a long-dated but concrete timeline that can affect force posture assumptions and counter-air planning. The system’s stated ability to engage low-flying aircraft, cruise missiles, and drones shifts the risk environment for platforms operating at low altitude near Iranian airspace and for unmanned systems. The agreement also formalizes a major Russia–Iran defense transfer that can trigger compliance exposure for logistics, finance, and intermediaries connected to procurement and shipment routes.
Implications
  • Low-altitude aircraft/drone ops face higher MANPADS threat density
  • Sanctions/interdiction risk rises for entities linked to Russia–Iran arms flows
  • Regional air-defense balance assumptions shift on a 2027–2029 timeline
  • Procurement/shipping routes tied to this contract become higher scrutiny nodes
Who is affected
  • Military aviation and drone operators in the Middle East theater
  • Defense planners and air-defense countermeasure suppliers
  • Sanctions compliance teams at shippers, insurers, and banks touching related trade
  • Russian and Iranian defense-industrial entities and intermediaries
Source

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